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Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Shough TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+143/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 142.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the stout Falcons defense has surrendered a feeble 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-smallest rate in the league.

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