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Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tyler Shough Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 221.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 223.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.
  • This year, the shaky Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a whopping 8.72 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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