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Tyler Shough Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Tyler Shough Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-112/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 213.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 209.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.

This year, the deficient Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the biggest rate in the NFL.

This year, the feeble Dolphins defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 7.87 yards.

The Miami Dolphins linebackers project as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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Tyler Shough Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Tyler Shough Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13