Tyler Scott Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyler Scott

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Scott

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Scott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
Tyler Scott ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a measly 1.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 23rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.6%) to WRs this year (59.6%).

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