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Tyler Scott

Tyler Scott Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Tyler Scott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Tyler Scott ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a measly 1.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 23rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.6%) to WRs this year (59.6%).

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