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Tyler Scott

Tyler Scott Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Tyler Scott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-188).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -188.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Tyler Scott grades out as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a mere 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 15th percentile among wide receivers.
  • With a poor 54.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) this year, Tyler Scott rates among the worst possession receivers in football among wideouts.

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