Tyler Scott Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyler Scott

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Scott

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Scott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-188).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -188.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Tyler Scott grades out as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a mere 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 15th percentile among wide receivers.
With a poor 54.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) this year, Tyler Scott rates among the worst possession receivers in football among wideouts.

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