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Tyler Scott

Tyler Scott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Tyler Scott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Bears rank as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.1% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Texans defense has been torched for the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (160.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Houston Texans defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a monstrous 9.48 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • With a poor 15.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (23rd percentile) last year, Tyler Scott ranks among the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

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