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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • While Tyler Lockett has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Tennessee's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 7.4%.
  • The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.3%) to wideouts this year (73.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Lockett has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (21.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
  • Tyler Lockett's 21.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 32.6.
  • Tyler Lockett's 46.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 70.0% figure.
  • The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Tyler Lockett's trading card this year.

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