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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+960/-1450).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1050 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +960.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

While Tyler Lockett has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Tennessee's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 10.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

The receiving TD column reads "0" on Tyler Lockett's box scores this year.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a meager 64.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the NFL.

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