Tyler Lockett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3700).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.

At a -12-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.2% of their chances: the 10th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Raiders have been the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.0% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast Tyler Lockett to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (8.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Raiders to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).

After accruing 48.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Lockett has produced significantly less this year, currently boasting 22.0 per game.

Tyler Lockett's 21.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 32.6.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

Tyler Lockett TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15