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An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this game.The projections expect the Raiders as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate.Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.The model projects Tyler Lockett to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the goal line in this game (14.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.9% in games he has played).
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