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Tyler Lockett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -390 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -430.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Raiders rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

While Tyler Lockett has accounted for 3.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's offense near the goal line in this contest at 16.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Raiders have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 52.9 plays per game.

After totaling 48.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has regressed heavily this season, currently sitting at 18.0 per game.

Tyler Lockett's 20.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 32.6.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

Tyler Lockett TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

Tyler Lockett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11