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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) vs. wideouts this year (68.9%).
  • The Patriots cornerbacks profile as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Tyler Lockett's 20.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 32.6.
  • Tyler Lockett's receiving performance has declined this season, averaging just 1.1 adjusted receptions vs 2.9 last season.
  • Tyler Lockett's 44.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.0% mark.

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