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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+119/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +119 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.3%) to wideouts this year (73.3%).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Tyler Lockett's 21.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 32.6.

Tyler Lockett's receiving skills have declined this season, accumulating a measly 1.0 adjusted catches vs 2.9 last season.

Tyler Lockett's 46.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 70.0% figure.

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