My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

The Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.6%) vs. wideouts this year (68.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Tyler Lockett's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 32.6.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.

Tyler Lockett's 1.2 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 2.9 mark.

Tyler Lockett's 54.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 70.0% figure.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™