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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-147).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.
  • At a -12-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.2% of their chances: the 10th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).
  • Tyler Lockett's 21.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 32.6.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Tyler Lockett's receiving skills have worsened this year, compiling just 1.8 adjusted receptions vs 2.9 last year.

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