My Account Log Out
 
 
Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-112/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -224 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The projections expect the Raiders as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • While Tyler Lockett has been responsible for 9.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Las Vegas's pass game in this contest at 16.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by the model to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Tyler Lockett's 1.8 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a remarkable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 2.9 figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™