Tyler Lockett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to garner 8.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
Tyler Lockett's 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 89th percentile for WRs.
Tyler Lockett's receiving performance has been refined this year, totaling 5.7 yards per game vs a measly 4.5 last year.
Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 69.4% to 78.9%.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.4%) versus WRs this year (60.4%).

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