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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to garner 8.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
  • Tyler Lockett's 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 89th percentile for WRs.
  • Tyler Lockett's receiving performance has been refined this year, totaling 5.7 yards per game vs a measly 4.5 last year.
  • Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 69.4% to 78.9%.
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.4%) versus WRs this year (60.4%).

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