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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-127/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.3%) to wideouts this year (73.3%).

This year, the feeble Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a whopping 9.30 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Tyler Lockett has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (21.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).

Tyler Lockett's 21.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 32.6.

Tyler Lockett's 8.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a significant reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 36.0 figure.

Tyler Lockett's 46.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 70.0% figure.

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