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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

The Cardinals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (176.0) versus WRs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Tyler Lockett has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).

Tyler Lockett's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 32.6.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.

Tyler Lockett's 9.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a material regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 36.0 rate.

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