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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

With an excellent 71.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Lockett ranks among the best possession receivers in football among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett's 60.5% Route Participation% this year indicates a noteworthy decline in his air attack workload over last year's 81.4% figure.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Tyler Lockett's 12.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a meaningful diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 36.0 figure.

Tyler Lockett profiles as one of the weakest wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 18th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Texans defense has given up a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the best rate in football.

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