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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup QB Kenny Pickett.
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • This year, the anemic Chiefs pass defense has given up a staggering 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 9th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.9 plays per game.
  • Tyler Lockett has notched far fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).
  • Tyler Lockett's 22.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 32.6.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

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