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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the deficient Giants defense has yielded a monstrous 154.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-worst in football.
  • The Giants pass defense has shown poor efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • Tyler Lockett has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
  • Tyler Lockett's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 32.6.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

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