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Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-112/-112).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -112.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this game.The projections expect the Raiders as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.While Tyler Lockett has been responsible for 9.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Las Vegas's pass game in this contest at 16.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by the model to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.After averaging 48.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has been a disappointment this season, currently averaging 22.0 per game.The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
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