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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -151.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seahawks.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyler Lockett to garner 8.8 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
  • With a top-tier 23.1% Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett has been among the wideouts with the most usage in football.
  • Tyler Lockett has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (87.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are a heavy favorite by 8.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Tyler Lockett's 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a a substantial decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 65.0 figure.
  • Tyler Lockett's 69.3% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a a remarkable reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 75.8% rate.
  • Tyler Lockett's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, accumulating just 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.55 figure last year.

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