Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this game, Tyler Lockett is expected by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.7 targets.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
Tyler Lockett's 55.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a significant decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 65.0 rate.
Tyler Lockett's 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 75.8% rate.
Tyler Lockett's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 7.91 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.55 rate last season.
Tyler Lockett profiles as one of the worst wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.

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