Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-148/+112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to earn 7.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
Tyler Lockett's 57.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for WRs.
Tyler Lockett has been among the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 70.0 yards per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.4% to 76.8%.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Tyler Lockett has posted far fewer air yards this season (83.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.61 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.

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