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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tyler Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+670/-890).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +990 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +670.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projections to call 66.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Tyler Johnson to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game (12.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played).
  • After averaging 15.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Johnson has produced significantly more this season, now boasting 20.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • This year, Tyler Johnson has not caught any TDs through the air this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 5th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.57 per game this year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-most touchdowns in football (1.14 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.

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