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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tyler Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-2100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • After totaling 15.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Johnson has undergone big improvement this season, currently boasting 20.0 per game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.40 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Tyler Johnson rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Tyler Johnson has not scored a TD through the air this year.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed the fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.20 per game this year.

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