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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tyler Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
  • Tyler Johnson's 47.9% Route% this season indicates a noteable gain in his pass attack utilization over last season's 33.0% mark.
  • Tyler Johnson's 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a substantial growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 65.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-least pass-centric team in the league (57.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the projection model to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • Tyler Johnson's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, accumulating just 1.3 adjusted catches compared to 2.3 last year.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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