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Tyler Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Tyler Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-233).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -227 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -233.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.

Tyler Johnson's 47.9% Route% this season indicates a noteable gain in his pass attack utilization over last season's 33.0% mark.

Tyler Johnson's 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a substantial growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 65.3% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (57.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Tyler Johnson's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, accumulating just 1.3 adjusted catches compared to 2.3 last year.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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Tyler Johnson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Tyler Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12