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Tyler Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Tyler Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +142 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -12.5-point underdogs.

Tyler Johnson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (48.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (33.0%).

Tyler Johnson's 77.8% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 65.3% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Tyler Johnson's receiving skills have tailed off this season, averaging just 1.3 adjusted receptions compared to 2.3 last season.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's LB corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.

More Tyler Johnson Player Props

Tyler Johnson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Tyler Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11