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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

While Tyler Johnson has earned 7.4% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New York's offense in this week's contest at 14.0%.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Bills pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.7%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (70.7%).

Since the start of last season, the shaky Bills defense has yielded the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a staggering 8.57 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jets offensive blueprint to lean 9.7% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

Our trusted projections expect the Jets as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (0th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Johnson places among the leading WRs in the league in the league in space.

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