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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Tyler Johnson's 48.2% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a substantial progression in his pass game utilization over last season's 33.0% rate.
  • Tyler Johnson has totaled many more air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
  • Tyler Johnson's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.3% to 78.0%.
  • Tyler Johnson's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 13.99 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.10 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Tyler Johnson's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.04 figure last year.
  • The Browns linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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