Tyler Huntley Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Tyler Huntley

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Completions

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Huntley Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Tyler Huntley has been among the best precision passers in football this year with a stellar 68.7% Completion%, grading out in the 89th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Huntley to attempt 29.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.4%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.