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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-435).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +450 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +410.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football (64.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 141.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • This year, the poor Saints pass defense has given up a monstrous 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the anemic Saints defense has conceded a whopping 0.50 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 8th-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Tyler Higbee's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 74.6% to 67.5%.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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