My Account Log Out
 
 
Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+630/-730).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -730.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year.
  • Tyler Higbee has posted a monstrous 23.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects Tyler Higbee to be much less involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (5.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.5% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a mere 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™