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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-330).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +280 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +245.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Higbee has posted a whopping 21.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among TEs.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 0.33 per game through the air (88th percentile), Tyler Higbee stands among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among TEs this year.
  • This year, the anemic Panthers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most touchdowns in football (1.18 per game) versus the Panthers defense this year.
  • The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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