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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-510).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -520 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -510.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Rams rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (67.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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