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Tyler Higbee Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-470).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -405 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -470.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

This year, the stout 49ers run defense has given up a puny 0.56 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-best rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, San Francisco's safety corps has been very bad this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Higbee's 69.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 74.6% mark.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.2%) vs. tight ends this year (68.2%).

More Tyler Higbee Player Props

Tyler Higbee TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10