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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The Ravens pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (96.5%) to tight ends this year (96.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Tyler Higbee's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 74.6% to 58.3%.
  • The Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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