Tyler Higbee Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-138).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback John Wolford in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The Rams rank as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.3% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Tyler Higbee's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.6% to 63.8%.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.8%) to tight ends this year (67.8%).

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