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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-138).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback John Wolford in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The Rams rank as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.3% pass rate.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Tyler Higbee's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.6% to 63.8%.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.8%) to tight ends this year (67.8%).

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