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Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-121/-104).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 67.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.Tyler Higbee's 58.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates an impressive reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.6% rate.This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed a measly 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
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