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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • With a high 49.7% Route% (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Higbee has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.
  • Tyler Higbee's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 74.6% to 81.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • When you add up his offense's air yards this year, Tyler Higbee has only garned a measly -0.9%, putting him in the 16th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Colts safeties project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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