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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Higbee has run a route on 53.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Higbee has posted a whopping 21.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Higbee is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 36.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Tyler Higbee comes in as one of the worst TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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