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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-108/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (62.0) versus TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Tyler Higbee grades out as one of the worst tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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