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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+106/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, San Francisco's safety corps has been very bad this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Tyler Higbee's 69.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 74.6% mark.
  • With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee places among the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL in the open field.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.2%) vs. tight ends this year (68.2%).

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