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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 61.7 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Tyler Higbee's 85.4% Route% this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his pass attack workload over last season's 69.7% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Tyler Higbee has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
  • Tyler Higbee has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a measly 65.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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