Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 61.7 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
Tyler Higbee's 85.4% Route% this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his pass attack workload over last season's 69.7% rate.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Tyler Higbee has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
Tyler Higbee has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a measly 65.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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