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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-2200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.50 per game) versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the model to run just 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin ranks among the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Tyler Conklin has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (6.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
  • Tyler Conklin's 7.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 25.8.
  • Tyler Conklin's 61.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates an impressive reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 76.7% rate.

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