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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+840/-880).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -880.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in football vs. the Dolphins defense this year (79.1% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 4-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 123.4 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin has been among the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.
  • After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Conklin has seen a big decrease this year, currently averaging 7.0 per game.

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