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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+480/-820).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -690 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -820.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Tyler Conklin has accumulated a massive 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among TEs.
  • With an excellent rate of 0.24 per game through the air (76th percentile), Tyler Conklin places as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (46.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
  • The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.2%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (70.2%).

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