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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-2000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • While Tyler Conklin has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 6.1%.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's safety corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Conklin has posted significant losses this season, currently boasting 4.0 per game.
  • Tyler Conklin's 6.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 25.8.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • Tyler Conklin's 65.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material decrease in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.7% mark.

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